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FirstCash Holdings, Inc. (FCFS)·Q4 2024 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Record Q4 and FY results: Q4 revenue $883.8M (+4% YoY) and GAAP diluted EPS $1.86 (+22% YoY); adjusted EPS $2.12 (+4% YoY). FY24 revenue $3.39B (+8%), GAAP EPS $5.73 (+19%). Strength was led by U.S. pawn; AFF remained profitable amid furniture headwinds .
  • U.S. pawn delivered double‑digit growth: Q4 segment pre‑tax income $111.8M (+14% YoY); retail margins 43% (vs 42% LY); pawn loans ended year +15% to $396.7M .
  • LatAm pawn grew on a constant currency basis but was pressured in USD by a weaker MXN; Q4 pre‑tax margin held at 20% despite FX headwinds .
  • 2025 outlook: pawn to contribute ~85% of segment pre‑tax income; U.S. pawn fee growth 8–11%; AFF net revenues down 10–15% with flat/slightly lower pre‑tax income; tax rate 24–25%; $0.38 dividend declared for Q1’25 .
  • Street estimates: S&P Global/Capital IQ consensus was unavailable in this session (API limit). We therefore do not present “vs. estimates” comparisons for Q4 2024.

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well
    • U.S. pawn outperformance: Q4 segment pre‑tax income +14% YoY to $111.8M; retail margins improved to 43%; same‑store pawn receivables +12% (sixth straight quarter of double‑digit growth) .
    • Strong cash generation and balance sheet: FY24 operating cash flow $540M (+30%); adjusted FCF $262M (+24%); net debt/adj. EBITDA 2.8x with largely fixed‑rate notes maturing 2028–2032 .
    • Management tone: “FirstCash posted record fourth quarter and full year revenues and earnings primarily fueled by exceptionally strong pawn operating results… We began 2025 in a strong position to again deliver meaningful earnings growth” – CEO Rick Wessel .
  • What Went Wrong
    • FX headwinds in LatAm: Peso depreciation drove USD declines; Q4 LatAm pre‑tax income −4% in USD but +7% in constant currency; FY margins stable at 19–20% .
    • AFF furniture vertical weakness and merchant bankruptcies (Conn’s HomePlus, American Freight) weighed on Q4; segment pre‑tax income −10% YoY to $39.4M; delinquencies on leased merchandise rose to 24.4% vs 21.7% LY .
    • Cost inflation: Store additions and labor drove higher OpEx (U.S. pawn OpEx +10% in Q4; LatAm OpEx +7% in CC for FY) though operating leverage remained favorable in the U.S. .

Financial Results

Consolidated results (in USD thousands; EPS in USD)

MetricQ4 2023Q3 2024Q4 2024
Revenue852,134 837,321 883,811
Net Income69,589 64,827 83,547
Diluted EPS (GAAP)$1.53 $1.44 $1.86
Adjusted EPS (Non‑GAAP)$2.04 $1.67 $2.12
EBITDA (Non‑GAAP)145,493 138,134 162,636

Segment performance – key P&L and margins (USD thousands unless noted)

SegmentMetricQ4 2023Q3 2024Q4 2024
U.S. PawnRevenue381,243 390,115 424,015
Net Revenue224,896 233,756 250,619
Pre‑tax Op. Income98,470 98,287 111,809
Pre‑tax Margin26% 25% 26%
Retail Sales Margin42% 43% 43%
LatAm PawnRevenue222,858 198,425 212,841
Net Revenue114,120 106,209 108,820
Pre‑tax Op. Income44,678 38,471 42,732
Pre‑tax Margin20% 19% 20%
Retail Sales Margin35% 35% 34%
AFF (Retail POS)Revenue249,628 249,758 247,947
Net Revenue77,491 64,625 74,280
Pre‑tax Op. Income43,539 30,186 39,385

Operating KPIs

KPIQ4 2023Q4 2024
U.S. Pawn loans outstanding (EOP)$344,152 $396,667
U.S. Inventories (EOP)$221,843 $245,492
U.S. Inventory turnover (TTM)2.8x 2.8x
LatAm Pawn loans outstanding (EOP, USD)$127,694 $121,200
LatAm Inventories (EOP, USD)$90,246 $89,088
LatAm Inventory turnover (TTM)4.4x 4.2x
AFF total gross transaction volume (Q4)$272,557 $284,488
AFF delinquency – leased merch (EOP)21.7% 24.4%
AFF average monthly NCO (full‑year)5.0% (FY23) 5.3% (FY24)

Note on estimates: S&P Global consensus was unavailable in this session, so “vs estimates” comparisons are not shown.

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Contribution mix (pawn vs AFF)FY2025— (no prior FY25 guide)Pawn ~85% of total segment pre‑tax income; AFF ~15% New
U.S. pawn fee growthFY2025+8% to +11% New
U.S. retail sales growth/marginsFY2025Similar sales growth; ~42% retail margin targeted New
LatAm pawn fee growth (LC)FY2025+8% to +11% (local currency) New
LatAm pawn fee growth (USD)FY2025−2% to −5% (USD at 20–21 MXN/USD) New
LatAm retail sales/marginsFY2025Track pawn fees; margins consistent New
LatAm OpExFY2025+6% to +9% (LC); −3% to −6% (USD) New
AFF origination volumeFY2025Low single‑digit growth; ex‑Conn’s/American Freight: +20% to +25% New
AFF net revenuesFY2025−10% to −15% YoY New
AFF pre‑tax incomeFY2025Flat to slightly down YoY New
Effective tax rateFY202524%–25% New
MXN sensitivityFY2025~$0.10 EPS per 1 peso change New
DividendQ1 2025Prior: $0.38 (Q4’24) $0.38 declared (payable Feb 28, 2025) Maintained

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

Note: We could not locate a Q4 2024 earnings call transcript in our document set; analysis reflects company press releases for Q2–Q4 2024.

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q2 2024)Previous Mentions (Q3 2024)Current Period (Q4 2024)Trend
Pawn demand & consumer backdropStrong U.S. pawn; same‑store pawn fees +12% in Q2; demand aided by credit tightening; retail margins 42% Record demand; U.S. same‑store pawn receivables +10%; momentum into October “Accelerating pawn demand” drove record results; same‑store pawn receivables +12% U.S. and LatAm (LC) Improving
Store growth47 pawn locations added in Q2; 67 YTD; pipeline robust 16 added in Q3; 83 YTD; 3,025 total 16 added in Q4; 99 in FY24; total stores 3,026 Steady expansion
LatAm FXQ2 MXN favorable vs PY; margins 17–20% Q3 MXN −11% vs PY; LatAm USD results pressured Q4 MXN −14% vs PY; USD results down while CC growth positive; guidance embeds 20–21 MXN/USD FX headwind
AFF mix & furniture verticalQ2: flat YoY revenues; diversification into auto, jewelry, elective medical; provisioning ~31% Q3: origination +14% YoY; pre‑tax income −23% on higher upfront provisioning Q4: pre‑tax −10% YoY; furniture bankruptcies a H1’25 headwind; net revenues −10–15% guided; ex‑furniture originations +36% in Q4 Mixed: non‑furniture up; furniture down
Capital allocationQ2 dividend raised to $0.38; $85M buybacks in Q2 Q3 dividend $0.38; $85M YTD buybacks Q1’25 dividend $0.38; $85M buybacks in FY24; net debt/adj. EBITDA 2.8x Shareholder‑friendly

Management Commentary

  • “FirstCash posted record fourth quarter and full year revenues and earnings primarily fueled by exceptionally strong pawn operating results.” – CEO Rick Wessel .
  • “Strong sequential acceleration in same‑store pawn receivable growth rates during the fourth quarter resulted in end of year increases in pawn receivables of 15% in the U.S. and 13% (constant currency) in Latin America… We began 2025 in a strong position to again deliver meaningful earnings growth.” – CEO Rick Wessel .
  • “AFF posted solid results in 2024 by contributing almost $130 million in segment earnings… Although this was a difficult year in the retail furniture industry… AFF posted overall origination growth in 2024, driven by successful expansion in other vertical categories.” – CEO Rick Wessel .

Q&A Highlights

We were unable to access a Q4 2024 earnings call transcript in our document set or via company filings; FirstCash’s Q4 communication comprised the press release/8‑K with detailed quantitative schedules and a 2025 outlook. Notable clarifications from management’s outlook include the explicit MXN EPS sensitivity (~$0.10 per 1 peso), AFF revenue headwinds tied to specific merchant bankruptcies, and continued double‑digit growth expectations for U.S. pawn with targeted ~42% retail margins .

Estimates Context

  • Wall Street consensus (S&P Global/Capital IQ) for Q4 2024 EPS and revenue was unavailable in this session due to data access limits; as a result, we cannot quantify beats/misses vs. consensus.
  • Implications for models: guidance suggests upward bias to U.S. pawn segment earnings on 8–11% pawn fee growth and stable ~42% margins, offset by lower AFF net revenue (−10% to −15%) and MXN/USD translation pressure in LatAm (USD pawn fees −2% to −5%) .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Core thesis intact: pawn remains the primary earnings engine (target ~85% of 2025 segment pre‑tax), supported by robust same‑store receivables and retail margins; U.S. pawn comps and loan growth are strong tailwinds .
  • Watch FX and mix: LatAm constant‑currency growth is healthy, but USD translation and a higher Mexican minimum wage will weigh; peso sensitivity is explicit at ~$0.10 EPS per 1 peso move .
  • AFF transition: furniture‑related headwinds and merchant bankruptcies reduce H1 originations and 2025 net revenues, but non‑furniture verticals are expanding (ex‑furniture originations +36% in Q4; 20–25% growth ex‑furniture guided for 2025) .
  • Cash flow and balance sheet provide optionality: adjusted FCF $262M and net leverage 2.8x support continued store expansion, dividends ($0.38/qtr) and opportunistic buybacks .
  • Near‑term trading setup: momentum in U.S. pawn and clear 2025 guide are positives; headline risk from FX and AFF revenue declines could temper sentiment, but segment mix shift toward pawn should support EPS durability .

Appendix: Additional data sources

  • Q4/FY24 press release and 8‑K with full schedules .
  • Prior quarter press releases for trend analysis (Q3 2024 and Q2 2024) .